Greyville Monday Tips and Comments

Monday, 28 March
GREYVILLE AW
Race 1

Race Summary: BIG SLICK and HAYAT both showed amazing speed on debut. The former was very green at Scottsville and if enjoying the turn at Greyville could open his account. The latter tired very late allowing one to get by and from draw No 1 should have every chance. POTENTE should enjoy Greyville but may need a bit further. Still, he should be running on well and may time it right. Highveld filly QUERULOUS showed pace on the Highveld and having drawn well could prove dangerous. Follow the betting moves closely on these improving juveniles.

Selections:
#8 Big Slick, #1 Hayat, #7 Potente, #3 Querulous

Race 2

Race Summary: Trainer Johan Janse Van Vuuren should settle this event with his two runners, NAZDAROVYA or COVERT OPERATOR, if either takes to the Polytrack. The former has decent Highveld form and is weighted to win. But the latter did show promise earlier in the season and just needed his last start. It could get close between GAUL RULER and SHOT OF COURAGE this time around. In their previous encounter the latter had a bad draw and never got into it but has drawn best now and only has 2.15 lengths to make up. GAUL RULER needed the run after gelding and could still show more. LA BANQUIERE can improve on the poly.

Selections:
#3 Nazdarovya, #6 Covert Operator, #2 Gaul Ruler, #1 Shot Of Courage

Race 3

Race Summary: WINTER MELODY's form was spoiled by a visit to Scottsville that didn't go off as planned. She has disappointed after a promising debut at this venue but having matured could turn in the required performance. She has drawn well but so has PICARA who has finished second four times in her last five races. She has been costly to follow but may enjoy the poly which she tries for the first time. AMERICAN STYLE has been brought along steadily. She was a few lengths behind PICARA last time but has only had two runs and could be dangerous this time. DECLARE WAR is another who has room for improvement.

Selections:
#2 Winter Melody, #3 Picara, #1 American Style, #6 Declare War

Race 4

Race Summary: SHAVOUT has run well in some strong races but remains a one-time winner. It could be his day as he is weighted to win in his first run for a new yard and he races fresh after a rest. PURPLE FLAME is also overdue for that second career win. He has shown class from day one and after needing his last race could make a winning poly debut. GUNSMOKE ran a fair race out of maiden company and is bred for this longer trip. A 2.5kg apprentice claim bridges the gap to the better-weighted horses. VOLDEMORT could be the dark horse. The stablemate to SHAVOUT showed promise in the Cape earlier.

Selections:
#2 Shavout, #7 Purple Flame, #4 Gunsmoke, #5 Voldemort

Race 5

Race Summary: Competitive handicap. Highveld filly SO THEY SAY was an unlucky loser last time and at her best could give the boys a run. However, she does make respiratory noises which is a worry. CAPE EAGLE did it the hard way going to the front last time and may do a lot better with waiting tactics. CUPID'S SONG on the other hand may be better near the front, has barrier No 1 and could make it count. He could be the value proposition back over his best trip. CAPTAIN SEAGER, GIMME A RAINBOW and PINK FLOYD can't be discounted. WINTER AIR may be looking for the poly.

Selections:
#8 So They Say, #5 Cape Eagle, #1 Cupid's Song, #4 Captain Seager

Race 6

Race Summary: Bottom weight ASTROCYTE improved when trying ground on the Highveld. He did even better with frontrunning tactics and could give his field the slip on his poly debut. SEA MASTER has shown better-than-average ability at times and being a frontrunner won't let ASTROCYTE get too far in front. Back on the poly he can threaten. MAXIUMUS won a thriller, showing he is no one-hit wonder and has drawn well so should have every chance. STRAIGHT UP gave weight to an up-and-coming sort last time and was not disgraced. CONGO COMPAQ is another to include in wider perms.

Selections:
#3 Astrocyte, #8 Sea Master, #2 Maxiumus, #4 Straight Up

Race 7

Race Summary: Another tough handicap. TOTO could be anything on her poly debut. She has fair Highveld form but is returning after a rest. Fellow Highveld filly, GODDESS OF LIGHT, ran below par when tried over further last time. The combination of the poly, 1200m and blinkers could see her produce the goods. NIKIYA could be best of the locals. She loves the surface and should benefit from a 1.5kg apprentice claim. A few of the main protagonists have drawn wide but LADY MACBETH may not mind as she will get a good pace to chase. PELARGONIUM, PURPLE NKANYEZI and PURPLE MOON'S UP have claims too.

Selections:
#5 Toto, #1 Goddess Of Light, #4 Nikiya, #11 Lady Macbeth

Race 8

Race Summary: If ALFONSA SPAGONI reproduces his last run from a slightly better gate he could win. He made big improvement with blinkers fitted and back on the poly last time. But on collateral lines of form all of LESLIES PATHTOFAME, GREY OCEAN, WE ALL CHOMIES and PACIFIC WINTER should finish on top of each other. GREY OCEAN will be at a peak in his third run after a rest and could add to his tally having also drawn well. LESLIES PATHTOFAME may prefer 1200m these days but is capable of flying up if the race is run to suit.

Selections:
#6 Alfonsa Spagoni, #2 Grey Ocean, #1 Leslies Pathtofame, #3 We All Chomies

Best Win: #3 NAZDAROVYA
Best Value Bet: #5 TOTO
Best Longshot: #5 TOTO