Scottsville Tips and Analysis

Sunday, 1 May
SCOTTSVILLE


Race 1
Race Summary: Not a lot of form to go on and newcomers are plentiful. Follow the betting on these closely, many are very well bred. CATCH THAT MELODY was not disgraced on debut and then improved to finish third second time out. The form line has not worked well but she was scalped in the race and can go close this time. TRIP TO NEBRASKA, SATURN MOON and BROADWAY GIRL have attractive pedigrees and could be the ones that will attract support.

Selections:
#7 Catch That Melody, #12 Trip To Nebraska, #10 Saturn Moon, #5 Broadway Girl

Race 2
Race Summary: COUSIN CASEY headlines the race as he brings fair Western Cape form into it but he tries the Scottsville bend from a wide gate. Still rates a big runner. NDABEZITHA came on nicely when a close-up third on the poly over 1400m. He has proven stamina and now has the benefit of a 4kg apprentice claim. LET'S GET TOGETHER has shown good pace in sprints and if the going is quick can be given a chance to keep going near the front. FUTURE OF ENERGY and ACTION STATIONS have room for good improvement but have drawn wide. ICE KINGDOM and POLITICAL PARTY can come on nicely this trip.

Selections:
#10 Cousin Casey, #8 Ndabezitha, #1 Let's Get Together, #5 Ice Kingdom

Race 3
Race Summary: SILVER FALCON was entitled to need his last run which came after quite a layoff and he had to overcome a wide draw as well. He has drawn well now and should come on nicely. Fellow three-year-old PARTY TIME finished ahead of SILVER FALCON in the above-mentioned feature and could prefer this track and trip. He has ability and may prefer this more galloping track. SHAMPOMPO SHAMPIZI just failed to pull off a hat-trick of wins but inclement weather may have interrupted his prep last time and he could bounce back. SHAVOUT is overdue and has an upset chance. GOOD RHYTHM and BABY SHOOZ can earn.

Selections:
#4 Silver Falcon, #7 Shampompo Shampizi, #3 Party Time, #9 Shavout

Race 4
Race Summary: ASHFORD CASTLE has been impressive on the poly and there is no reason why he should not continue winning ways at this venue. He did win his maiden at this track. But along with most is prepping for the Grade 1 Golden Horse Sprint. ISIVUNGUVUNGU turned in a promising effort at Hollywoodbets Greyville after a rest. He should build on that and could prove hard to catch. AMBIORIX carries weight but is a Grade 1 winner at this venue and is the one to keep an eye on. MOUNT PLEASANT is overdue and has been a bit unlucky. SOCRATES, SPYDAS CORNER, INTREPID and SAFE RETURN have claims.

Selections:
#8 Ashford Castle, #3 Isivunguvungu, #4 Ambiorix, #9 Mount Pleasant

Race 5
Race Summary: The winner of the Grade 3 Strelitzia Stakes could take on the role of favourite in the upcoming Grade 1 Alan Robertson so don't miss this one. PRINCESS OZMA played up and shifted in running allowing RED ROSES TOO to get the better of her. The latter impressed but is now 3kg worse off with that rival and will have her work cut out. But stablemate BAUBLES AND BEADS was impressive on her debut and could be even better on the turf. She may be the one to follow from this. WOODLAND RETREAT, EAU DE VIE, AIR OF MYSTERY and SABATINI can still improve. MORGAN LA FAY came in for support on debut - watch.

Selections:
#9 Baubles And Beads, #3 Princess Ozma, #1 Red Roses Too, #6 Eau De Vie

Race 6
Race Summary: Good mix of form for the Grade 3 heading into the Grade 1 Gold Medallion. Highveld-based colt PROPHET was backed throughout the day and arrived in style, beating experienced individuals easily. This is tougher but he will enjoy the longer trip on pedigree. COUNTDOWN won in eye-catching fashion over this trip in his Western Cape debut and is another who could be anything. His pedigree suggests he will be most effective over a 1600m. GLADATORIAN is still strengthening up and must get better with each passing month. Much the same can be said for RETURN TO RUSSIA and RULERSHIP. Lovely race.

Selections:
#5 Prophet, #7 Countdown, #3 Gladatorian, #6 Return To Russia

Race 7
Race Summary: Most are prepping for the Grade 1 SA Fillies Sprint. Justin Snaith has four in the race and all have claims. FAVORITA is best weighted and it is significant she has had a prep (it was a good effort) to sharpen up. But KWINTA'S LIGHT is ridden by Richard Fourie and being blessed with natural early speed, could get the job done. The pair have secured great barriers. GIMME DAT has drawn on the standside but is another with bags of class and she needs to be taken seriously. MERCURY RISING can get revenge if takes to the track. TANZANITE QUEEN could be anything this track.

Selections:
#2 Favorita, #3 Kwinta's Light, #13 Gimme Dat, #12 Tanzanite Queen

Race 8
Race Summary: LADY SERENA won a nice race in yielding going and could be even better on faster ground this track and trip. She has drawn well again and can follow up. SACRED BLUES has decent form in higher grades but carries the same weight courtesy of a 4kg apprentice claim. She has secured draw No 2 and should make a race of it. LADY YUSRA can run on poly and turf and if getting a fast pace could be very dangerous at the business end of this race. FLASHY KAITRINA was beaten 0.50 lengths by LADY SERENA but is now 3.5kg better off and found her last race too short. Expect better.

Selections:
#1 Lady Serena, #2 Sacred Blues, #8 Lady Yusra, #4 Flashy Kaitrina

Best Win: #10 COUSIN CASEY
Best Value Bet: #8 ASHFORD CASTLE
Best Longshot: #8 ASHFORD CASTLE